Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 2.379012e-05 2.861981e-05 0.000034 0.000040 0.000047 0.000054 0.000063
2025-06-01 1.635091e-05 2.227304e-05 0.000029 0.000038 0.000048 0.000061 0.000075
2025-06-08 1.223370e-05 1.865626e-05 0.000027 0.000038 0.000051 0.000068 0.000088
2025-06-15 9.279993e-06 1.579302e-05 0.000025 0.000037 0.000053 0.000074 0.000100
2025-06-22 6.835141e-06 1.305756e-05 0.000022 0.000035 0.000054 0.000077 0.000109
2025-06-29 4.891238e-06 1.059527e-05 0.000020 0.000033 0.000053 0.000080 0.000116
2025-07-06 3.401112e-06 8.470931e-06 0.000017 0.000031 0.000052 0.000081 0.000121
2025-07-13 2.546271e-06 7.230060e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000053 0.000084 0.000130
2025-07-20 1.937900e-06 6.285722e-06 0.000015 0.000030 0.000054 0.000088 0.000139
2025-07-27 1.562982e-06 5.724775e-06 0.000014 0.000030 0.000056 0.000094 0.000151
2025-08-03 1.471299e-06 5.810258e-06 0.000015 0.000033 0.000062 0.000105 0.000169
2025-08-10 1.142915e-06 5.181370e-06 0.000014 0.000033 0.000063 0.000109 0.000179
2025-08-17 6.394917e-07 3.886346e-06 0.000012 0.000030 0.000062 0.000110 0.000186
2025-08-24 3.559405e-07 3.013507e-06 0.000011 0.000029 0.000062 0.000113 0.000196
2025-08-31 2.119767e-07 2.501110e-06 0.000010 0.000028 0.000063 0.000120 0.000210
2025-09-07 1.145104e-07 2.037671e-06 0.000009 0.000028 0.000065 0.000125 0.000224
2025-09-14 4.747273e-08 1.549432e-06 0.000008 0.000027 0.000064 0.000128 0.000234
2025-09-21 1.323898e-08 1.111056e-06 0.000007 0.000025 0.000063 0.000130 0.000241
2025-09-28 1.647216e-09 7.549601e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000062 0.000130 0.000247
2025-10-05 7.903191e-11 5.696174e-07 0.000005 0.000023 0.000062 0.000134 0.000258
2025-10-12 NaN 4.384175e-07 0.000005 0.000022 0.000063 0.000139 0.000271
2025-10-19 NaN 3.669723e-07 0.000005 0.000023 0.000066 0.000146 0.000289
2025-10-26 NaN 3.842751e-07 0.000005 0.000025 0.000072 0.000160 0.000317